Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 4.734411 5.112308 5.528331 6.024799 6.607314 7.277204 8.118206
2025-01-26 4.343855 4.861990 5.472603 6.261674 7.280953 8.595647 10.501543
2025-02-02 4.185434 4.841667 5.666605 6.822229 8.481437 10.942445 15.306339
2025-02-09 3.931400 4.663718 5.632188 7.083406 9.375899 13.291205 22.137221
2025-02-16 3.687689 4.464923 5.537035 7.241044 10.185871 16.019427 34.111570
2025-02-23 3.446848 4.239920 5.370904 7.257971 10.787550 18.880589 56.904864
2025-03-02 3.169894 3.935341 5.048584 6.961809 10.726126 20.294110 87.704089
2025-03-09 2.983271 3.742342 4.871310 6.879850 11.083686 23.349766 236.536907
2025-03-16 2.771074 3.494269 4.582107 6.552278 10.814312 24.289139 820.914744
2025-03-23 2.662621 3.391030 4.510841 6.611336 11.472986 29.902544 NaN
2025-03-30 2.543522 3.262162 4.384267 6.543735 11.807126 35.187797 NaN
2025-04-06 2.401125 3.088320 4.168159 6.268481 11.501774 36.535554 NaN
2025-04-13 2.251216 2.904733 3.938981 5.974930 11.178168 38.438261 NaN
2025-04-20 2.207596 2.883629 3.983573 6.255065 12.711982 67.092532 NaN
2025-04-27 2.207200 2.930788 4.153329 6.856097 15.947052 417.984051 NaN
2025-05-04 2.161968 2.901638 4.183045 7.153434 18.547863 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.106481 2.851186 4.167422 7.340559 21.063860 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.040033 2.777558 4.099586 7.378163 22.957167 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.947630 2.654302 3.923954 7.087489 22.367600 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.883097 2.575572 3.830511 7.013353 23.396503 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.799750 2.460379 3.656199 6.681754 22.117470 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.758547 2.416183 3.621191 6.748470 24.317603 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 1.708767 2.354423 3.545639 6.682442 25.370429 NaN NaN